Election Predictions 2024 538. Both trump and harris have states they can probably count on to get at least 200 electoral votes, but they need to get to 270 to win. An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.
View the latest 2024 biden trump presidential forecast predictions and create your own 2024 election prediction map. The 2024 election stands apart from previous years, with silver noting it’s closer than a coin flip in projected outcomes.